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Writer's pictureMarc Ambrosino

UFC 285: Jones vs Gane Picks and Locks

Updated: Mar 4, 2023


UFC 285 is officially tomorrow! The GOAT is back, Jon Jones will fight Ciryl Gane for the UFC Heavyweight Title. That means it's time to deliver our picks for the card. There are a couple of locks as well. The DraftKings odds are the fight lines we will be covering. The first fight we're picking is Ian Garry (-730) vs Kenan Song (+530). Ian Garry is an undefeated phenom from Ireland. Conor McGregor has promoted his fighting skill in the past. Garry has three wins in the UFC. Two via decision and one via knockout. I think Garry is going to get the finish inside the distance against Song. Garry has shown he has quick hands and is pretty powerful. He hasn't won via submission in the UFC yet, but Opinion Octagon is taking Garry with a double chance winning method via KO/TKO/DQ or Submission just in case Garry is forced to win on the ground. The double chance winning method actually offers a really nice option because there are a few fighters on this card that can win in any way.

The second fight we're taking is Dricus Du Plessis (-230) vs Derek Brunson (+195). These two fighters are currently on opposite trends. DDP is trending up as he is 4-0 in the UFC with his last two wins coming against Darren Till and Brad Tavares. Brunson's last fight was a little over a year ago against Jared Cannonier and he lost. Brunson's last win is also Darren Till but in 2021. The Octagon is taking DDP straight up at (-230), these odds aren't horrible to throw in a parlay.

The next fight we like is the main card opener, Bo Nickal (-1800) vs Jamie Pickett (+1000). The odds say this fight is going to be extremely one-sided. Bo and Jamie both made their way to the UFC through Dana White's Contender Series. Bo won both his fights in less than four minutes combined. Jamie on the other hand, went 1-2. Jamie's UFC record is 2-4. It feels like the UFC wants Bo to win. Personally, I feel Bo is a lock and he's gonna win in the distance. Opinion Octagon is taking another double chance winning method for Bo via KO/TKO/DQ or submission (-650). The odds might not be worth it for you, but we think Bo inside the distance is a lock to put in any parlay.

Mateusz Gamrot (-215) vs Jalin Turner (+185) could be a show-stealer. This is the first and only fight of the night I believe the underdog takes the win. Turner is currently on a five-fight win streak in the Lightweight division. Mateusz Gamrot is no slouch though, Gamrot went toe to toe with Beneil Dariush before Beneil was able to put him down. Gamrot is an amazing grappler which may pose some problems for Turner, but Jalin does have the size advantage. The reason we like Turner so much is that he has future Lightweight Champ written all over him and Mateusz Gamrot took the fight on short notice. Turner can knock you out or tap you out, but being Gamrot is a fierce competitor, we're just taking Turner straight up at (+185).

Shavkat Rakhmonov (-490) vs Geoff Neal (+390) is another fight we're going with a double chance method of victory. Shavkat has sixteen MMA wins. Half are knockouts and half are submissions. All of Shavkat's wins are finishes. Shavkat is most likely going to finish Neal. We're actually throwing a lock on this pick as well. Shavkat via KO/TKO/DQ or submission (-135). No disrespect to "Hands of Steel," but no one has defeated Shavkat yet, and I don't think it's his time to lose. Geoff is certainly Shavkat's toughest opponent to date, but Shavkat is also Geoff's toughest opponent to date. Shavkat inside the distance is an absolute lock!

For the co-main event, we have "The Bullet" Valentina Shevchenko (-730) vs Alexa Grasso (+530) for the women's Flyweight Championship. Alexa Grasso is a tough competitor with a great gas tank. Most of her fights end in a decision. Valentina Shevchenko has been on a tear looking for her tenth straight win and ninth title defense. In her last bout, Talia Santos gave Shevchenko all she can eat. Alexa's style is quite different than Santos, but that said we need to see how The Bullet returns tomorrow before we can pick her fights again. is the reign coming to a close? However, the Octagon is taking this fight to go to a decision (+130) just to get a play in from this fight.

Finally for the main event. The anticipation is almost over. Jon Jones (-170) vs Ciryl Gane (+145) for the Heavyweight Title. This is a fight that probably can go either way, as most Heavyweight bouts are. Yet, this is not going to be two extremely large men just punching each other till one of them goes to sleep. Jones and Gane are both extremely technical. Jones has only shown razor focus toward the Heavyweight title. Gane, on the other hand, has said in interviews how he doesn't train that much and relies heavily on his athleticism. That doesn't bode well against Jon Jones. There is no known way to defeat Bones, as he is unbeaten, but a lack of training and relying on athleticism is certainly not the answer. Jones money-line (-170) is the pick here.

So there you have it. If you run the Opinion Octagon Parlay you're looking at a seven-pick parlay with (+4479). Remember to tweet us if you take any picks. Hopefully, we win together!

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